Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000681 0.000710 0.000739 0.000771 0.000805 0.000840 0.000878
2025-11-02 0.000632 0.000675 0.000720 0.000770 0.000826 0.000885 0.000954
2025-11-09 0.000587 0.000639 0.000694 0.000758 0.000831 0.000911 0.001007
2025-11-16 0.000553 0.000610 0.000673 0.000748 0.000835 0.000934 0.001056
2025-11-23 0.000537 0.000600 0.000672 0.000759 0.000862 0.000983 0.001136
2025-11-30 0.000518 0.000586 0.000664 0.000760 0.000878 0.001018 0.001199
2025-12-07 0.000495 0.000566 0.000648 0.000750 0.000877 0.001032 0.001238
2025-12-14 0.000474 0.000547 0.000631 0.000739 0.000875 0.001043 0.001271
2025-12-21 0.000457 0.000531 0.000619 0.000731 0.000875 0.001057 0.001308
2025-12-28 0.000431 0.000503 0.000589 0.000702 0.000846 0.001031 0.001290
2026-01-04 0.000416 0.000489 0.000577 0.000692 0.000843 0.001037 0.001316
2026-01-11 0.000405 0.000479 0.000569 0.000688 0.000846 0.001053 0.001353
2026-01-18 0.000392 0.000466 0.000558 0.000680 0.000845 0.001063 0.001386
2026-01-25 0.000385 0.000461 0.000555 0.000683 0.000857 0.001092 0.001447
2026-02-01 0.000372 0.000448 0.000543 0.000674 0.000853 0.001098 0.001475
2026-02-08 0.000361 0.000437 0.000533 0.000666 0.000850 0.001106 0.001505
2026-02-15 0.000358 0.000437 0.000536 0.000675 0.000872 0.001149 0.001592
2026-02-22 0.000352 0.000431 0.000533 0.000677 0.000882 0.001176 0.001654
2026-03-01 0.000342 0.000421 0.000523 0.000668 0.000877 0.001180 0.001681
2026-03-08 0.000333 0.000411 0.000513 0.000659 0.000871 0.001182 0.001703
2026-03-15 0.000325 0.000403 0.000505 0.000652 0.000869 0.001189 0.001733
2026-03-22 0.000310 0.000386 0.000484 0.000627 0.000837 0.001151 0.001687
2026-03-29 0.000303 0.000377 0.000475 0.000619 0.000831 0.001151 0.001706